ForetellerForeteller
4P
4PXJ…eqXS
sports
score
48
Follow
-62%
ROI · 7d
-$1.8k
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$308 @ 0.62
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+2.6¢
Edge, worst case
-27.2¢
Closing line value
-9.1¢
size-weighted edge +1.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$1.8k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+123% · +$627
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.48$556145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.78$580145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.52$294147h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1.1k169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.45$511171h
redeemedESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.00expired265h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.28$758267h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.09$169288h

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