ForetellerForeteller
4Q
4QGB…g8zCrank #42
crypto
score
54
Follow
-8%
ROI · 7d
-$119
Profit · 7d
32
Markets
Performance · 7d41 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time30 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-18.1¢
Edge, worst case
-30.5¢
Closing line value
-3.5¢
crypto 0 · 30 callssize-weighted edge -41.0¢sizing discipline -0.3625% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$320
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+525% · +$53
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired263h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$0.04263h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$0.09263h
boughtBTC Up@0.27$0.57263h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired264h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$5264h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired267h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$3267h
boughtBTC Up@0.10$2267h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired267h

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