ForetellerForeteller
4V
4Vxq…7zedrank #342
cryptoother
score
49
Follow
-2%
ROI · 7d
-$1.4k
Profit · 7d
92
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time85 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
-8.0¢
Edge, worst case
-15.6¢
Closing line value
-21.0¢
crypto 5 · 80 callsother 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -2.8¢sizing discipline +0.1433% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$13.4k
other
+$45
Current streak
60 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+949% · +$229
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired149h
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.59$144149h
bought@0.79$100149h
redeemed@1.00+$113149h
bought@0.89$100149h
redeemed@1.00+$4151h
bought@0.76$3151h
redeemed@0.00expired153h
bought@0.78$9153h

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