ForetellerForeteller
4Z
4ZUj…nboirank #1136
cryptoother
score
18
Follow
-66%
ROI · 7d
-$289
Profit · 7d
21
Markets
Performance · 7d29 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-14.9¢
Edge, worst case
-32.5¢
Closing line value
-1.6¢
crypto 0 · 15 callssize-weighted edge -22.6¢sizing discipline -0.22

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$16
crypto
-$273
Current streak
8 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+16% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired152h
bought@0.19$13152h
redeemed@0.00expired152h
bought@0.08$3153h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$2176h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4176h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$11176h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$2177h

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