ForetellerForeteller
4D
4d1K…iC8f
sports
score
45
Follow
-9%
ROI · 7d
-$138
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-21.5¢
Edge, worst case
-51.7¢
Closing line value
-20.7¢
size-weighted edge -17.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$138
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+7% · +$93
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.01$43169h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.99+$1.3k169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.92$1.3k170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.56$95171h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.40$93240h
redeemedCAN vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@1.00+$134411h
boughtCAN vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.72$97414h

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