ForetellerForeteller
4E
4efX…e9Pu
crypto
score
51
Follow
+23%
ROI · 7d
$413
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
58
Avg edge / share
+42.6¢
Edge, worst case
+1.5¢
Closing line value
-7.4¢
size-weighted edge +42.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$413
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+74% · +$708
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1.7k297h
boughtBTC Up@0.57$952298h
soldBTC Up@0.51+$517319h
boughtBTC Up@0.80$812319h

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