ForetellerForeteller
4H
4hrL…2FyPrank #532
crypto
score
47
Follow
-21%
ROI · 7d
-$74
Profit · 7d
56
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time24 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-8.6¢
Edge, worst case
-28.1¢
Closing line value
-13.3¢
crypto 0 · 24 callssize-weighted edge -35.6¢sizing discipline -0.4233% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$227
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+164% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired194h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.18194h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.17195h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.17195h
soldBTC Up@0.62+$0.01195h
soldBTC Up@0.60+$0.26195h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.22195h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.15195h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.03195h
boughtBTC Up@0.56$0.14195h

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