ForetellerForeteller
4K
4khA…8DMRrank #532
cryptosports
score
47
Follow
+0%
ROI · 7d
$1
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d12 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time11 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-5.7¢
Edge, worst case
-27.5¢
Closing line value
-6.5¢
crypto 0 · 10 callssize-weighted edge +3.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$7
crypto
-$6
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+103% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$25225h
boughtBTC Up@0.94$23225h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$23238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.71$16241h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired269h
boughtBTC Up@0.69$5269h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired270h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$10270h
soldBTC Up@0.47+$0.31270h
boughtBTC Up@0.63$10270h

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