ForetellerForeteller
4N
4ni9…xQeGrank #42
cryptoothersports
score
54
Follow
+6%
ROI · 7d
$17
Profit · 7d
57
Markets
Performance · 7d57 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time31 scored calls
Forecast score
9
Avg edge / share
+2.1¢
Edge, worst case
-11.8¢
Closing line value
-0.5¢
crypto 38 · 27 callssize-weighted edge -0.2¢sizing discipline -0.0633% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$11
other
+$11
sports
-$5
Current streak
10 wins
in a row
Best call
+191% · +$4
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$4151h
bought@0.95$2151h
bought@0.92$2151h
redeemed@1.00+$3151h
bought@0.62$2151h
redeemed@1.00+$18151h
bought@0.99$1151h
bought@0.91$3151h
bought@0.89$10151h
bought@0.82$2151h

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