ForetellerForeteller
4P
4pJe…jKMprank #432
cryptosports
score
48
Follow
-59%
ROI · 7d
-$985
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d36 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time11 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+2.9¢
Edge, worst case
-18.9¢
Closing line value
+0.9¢
crypto 2 · 10 callssize-weighted edge -13.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$4
crypto
-$216
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+524% · +$95
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired261h
boughtBTC Up@0.35$81261h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
boughtBTC Up@0.89$347262h
boughtBTC Up@0.61$26262h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$90262h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$4262h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$4262h

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