ForetellerForeteller
4S
4s9A…StpHrank #1043
crypto
score
35
Follow
-60%
ROI · 7d
-$344
Profit · 7d
23
Markets
Performance · 7d23 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time31 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.1¢
Edge, worst case
-33.0¢
Closing line value
-2.6¢
crypto 0 · 31 callssize-weighted edge -37.1¢sizing discipline -0.400% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$344
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+113% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired218h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$1218h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$8219h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8219h
soldBTC Up@1.00+$6219h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired219h
boughtBTC Up@0.13$0.90219h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3219h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired219h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$2219h

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