ForetellerForeteller
4W
4wrq…j42G
crypto
score
19
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$28
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-72.5¢
Edge, worst case
-113.6¢
Closing line value
-22.5¢
size-weighted edge -72.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$46
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$42278h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired279h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired279h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$31279h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired279h
boughtBTC Up@0.73$28279h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.17280h

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