ForetellerForeteller
4Y
4yyk…Gpkmrank #193
cryptosports
score
51
Follow
-28%
ROI · 7d
-$44
Profit · 7d
39
Markets
Performance · 7d41 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time29 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-9.4¢
Edge, worst case
-21.3¢
Closing line value
-23.1¢
crypto 0 · 26 callssize-weighted edge -23.3¢sizing discipline -0.37

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$1
crypto
-$38
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+937% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired227h
boughtBTC Up@0.62$6227h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$6228h
boughtBTC Up@0.92$5228h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$5228h
boughtBTC Up@0.85$5228h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$5228h
boughtBTC Up@0.95$4228h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$4228h
boughtBTC Up@0.96$4228h

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