ForetellerForeteller
4Z
4zet…Scdwrank #77
cryptosports
score
53
Follow
+13%
ROI · 7d
$1
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-1.6¢
Edge, worst case
-25.8¢
Closing line value
+5.3¢
size-weighted edge -15.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$0.54
crypto
+$0.46
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$0.68
Recent activity
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$0.76280h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$1287h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired297h
boughtBTC Up@0.33$0.92297h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$1305h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.73305h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$4305h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$4305h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1305h

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