ForetellerForeteller
54
54Gz…t8hA
sports
score
6
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$295
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.0¢
Edge, worst case
-33.7¢
Closing line value
-6.7¢
size-weighted edge -28.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$295
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.35$167170h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$128292h
soldSUI vs COL: SUI wins (YES)@0.99+$1.5k335h
boughtSUI vs COL: SUI wins (YES)@0.40$607342h

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