ForetellerForeteller
56
56Tj…6i9Zrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-82%
ROI · 7d
-$595
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-3.9¢
Edge, worst case
-48.7¢
Closing line value
-3.7¢
size-weighted edge -25.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$595
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+142% · +$29
Recent activity
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5188h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$12190h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$500190h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$49190h
boughtBTC Up@0.41$20190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.18$20190h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$100190h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$27190h

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