ForetellerForeteller
59
59h9…vuJarank #261
othercryptosports
score
50
Follow
-31%
ROI · 7d
-$570
Profit · 7d
79
Markets
Performance · 7d60 settled
Open positions
NO
$8 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-13.0¢
Edge, worst case
-45.8¢
Closing line value
-4.8¢
size-weighted edge -30.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$163
crypto
+$34
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
+1150% · +$115
Recent activity
bought@0.67$5142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.38$5142h
redeemed@1.00+$20142h
redeemed@1.00+$0.04142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.49$10142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.92$100142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h

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