ForetellerForeteller
5A
5Az8…qeUErank #77
cryptosports
score
53
Follow
-20%
ROI · 7d
-$40
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-9.7¢
Edge, worst case
-46.8¢
Closing line value
-9.2¢
size-weighted edge -41.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$3
sports
-$43
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+4900% · +$159
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.37$19169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.37$24169h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$3175h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$162175h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$3176h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired191h
boughtBTC Up@0.53$52192h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$80192h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired192h

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