ForetellerForeteller
5C
5CQX…qNy8rank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+55%
ROI · 7d
$67
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
3
Avg edge / share
+15.5¢
Edge, worst case
-17.7¢
Closing line value
-9.6¢
size-weighted edge +32.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$67
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+116% · +$32
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$59143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$9147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$18167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$43168h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41+$18174h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$14181h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$23208h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.40$4250h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$28264h

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