ForetellerForeteller
5D
5DKy…knHNrank #432
cryptosportsother
score
48
Follow
-6%
ROI · 7d
-$10
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d8 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-19.1¢
Edge, worst case
-53.2¢
Closing line value
-43.6¢
size-weighted edge -10.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$45
other
+$3
crypto
-$38
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+91% · +$20
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94+$41145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$17146h
redeemed@1.00+$17146h
bought@0.81$14146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$5155h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$4164h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4164h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.40$16171h
soldNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.87+$88239h

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