ForetellerForeteller
5H
5HNP…sVXfrank #623
crypto
score
46
Follow
-63%
ROI · 7d
-$850
Profit · 7d
14
Markets
Performance · 7d14 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time13 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-9.3¢
Edge, worst case
-26.5¢
Closing line value
+4.7¢
crypto 0 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -28.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$850
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+277% · +$166
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired196h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$0.91196h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$2196h
boughtBTC Up@0.20$2196h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired208h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$2208h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$3208h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired209h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$9209h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$9209h

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