ForetellerForeteller
5J
5JmB…Quykrank #193
sportsother
score
51
Follow
+33%
ROI · 7d
$140
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$106 @ 0.18
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+1.5¢
Edge, worst case
-31.7¢
Closing line value
+1.3¢
size-weighted edge +11.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$165
other
-$25
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+118% · +$93
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$172143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$13167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$18192h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.18$19217h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$66226h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$39226h
redeemedConor McGregor beats Max Holloway@0.00expired233h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$160233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$128237h

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