ForetellerForeteller
5P
5P7u…LJyArank #77
sportsother
score
53
Follow
+80%
ROI · 7d
$10
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$1 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
34
Avg edge / share
+25.7¢
Edge, worst case
-3.2¢
Closing line value
+0.7¢
size-weighted edge +38.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$9
other
+$0.46
Current streak
5 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$8143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$9168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.48$2178h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$2178h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$2206h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$2206h
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$2237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.60$1238h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.69$1277h

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