ForetellerForeteller
5T
5TCM…rYecrank #532
crypto
score
47
Follow
-20%
ROI · 7d
-$20
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d13 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-12.5¢
Edge, worst case
-48.8¢
Closing line value
-10.7¢
size-weighted edge -1.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$184
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$20
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired203h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1203h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired297h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$61297h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$9297h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$59298h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$4298h
soldBTC Up@0.84+$10298h
soldBTC Up@0.08+$0.60298h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$17298h

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