ForetellerForeteller
5V
5VUX…ahnUrank #778
crypto
score
44
Follow
-56%
ROI · 7d
-$95
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-6.7¢
Edge, worst case
-44.2¢
Closing line value
+17.9¢
size-weighted edge +7.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$95
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+61% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired198h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.93198h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired198h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$0.72198h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$40199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.79$36199h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$41199h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$41199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h

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