ForetellerForeteller
5Z
5ZwL…w9qcrank #707
cryptosports
score
45
Follow
-36%
ROI · 7d
-$165
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-16.0¢
Edge, worst case
-45.3¢
Closing line value
-7.7¢
crypto 0 · 7 callssize-weighted edge -15.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$64
sports
-$100
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+76% · +$38
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.54$20148h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.54$37149h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$44179h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$93179h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired179h
boughtBTC Up@0.59$55180h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$61180h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$61180h

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