ForetellerForeteller
5B
5bXU…AsXqrank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+31%
ROI · 7d
$6
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
98
Avg edge / share
+30.6¢
Edge, worst case
+19.0¢
Closing line value
+10.0¢
sports 98 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +30.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$6
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+123% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$10144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.54$5147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$5147h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$4168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.45$2170h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$4237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.65$2240h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$3264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.73$2267h

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