ForetellerForeteller
5D
5dpR…jf2Frank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+77%
ROI · 7d
$34
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
7
Avg edge / share
-6.6¢
Edge, worst case
-13.2¢
Closing line value
-5.8¢
size-weighted edge -9.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$34
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+319% · +$44
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$58144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$5144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$9145h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.03$2168h
soldARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$6233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.76$5236h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.11$11238h
soldFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.99+$7287h

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