ForetellerForeteller
5F
5fob…xrCtrank #1138
cryptoother
score
15
Follow
-94%
ROI · 7d
-$7.9k
Profit · 7d
28
Markets
Performance · 7d28 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
5
Avg edge / share
+4.7¢
Edge, worst case
-15.2¢
Closing line value
-12.3¢
other 9 · 11 callssize-weighted edge +7.5¢sizing discipline +0.0733% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$456
crypto
-$7.4k
Current streak
6 losss
in a row
Best call
+47% · +$28
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.44$36143h
sold@0.50+$1143h
sold@0.50+$20143h
sold@0.50+$10143h
bought@0.99$62143h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.47$28143h
redeemed@0.00expired143h

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