ForetellerForeteller
5J
5jme…6WJxrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+36%
ROI · 7d
$40
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$25 @ 0.61
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+5.7¢
Edge, worst case
-20.7¢
Closing line value
-10.9¢
sports 2 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +5.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$40
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+262% · +$40
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$55143h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.61$15144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.28$15144h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$30168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.66$20170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$20226h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$26233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$17237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$20239h

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