ForetellerForeteller
5W
5wy8…cYK6rank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
-17%
ROI · 7d
-$44
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$0.34 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
5
Avg edge / share
+11.3¢
Edge, worst case
-14.4¢
Closing line value
+10.7¢
sports 5 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -5.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$44
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
NOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)
+100% · +$0.50
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$92194h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$91233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$1237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$0.50262h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$71263h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$71264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$54276h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$55287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$44326h

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