ForetellerForeteller
5X
5xn3…nAGcrank #42
crypto
score
54
Follow
-30%
ROI · 7d
-$456
Profit · 7d
41
Markets
Performance · 7d53 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time31 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.6¢
Edge, worst case
-40.0¢
Closing line value
-22.2¢
crypto 0 · 31 callssize-weighted edge -41.0¢sizing discipline -0.210% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$56
Current streak
9 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+3219% · +$58
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired226h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1226h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired226h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$0.89226h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4226h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$39226h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$19226h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired226h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4226h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired226h

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