ForetellerForeteller
5X
5xvz…Koemrank #1096
crypto
score
28
Follow
-53%
ROI · 7d
-$258
Profit · 7d
8
Markets
Performance · 7d20 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.2¢
Edge, worst case
-49.1¢
Closing line value
-3.1¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -67.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$1.5k
Current streak
12 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4188h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired189h
boughtBTC Up@0.15$45189h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$9189h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$18190h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$47190h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired190h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$231191h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$235191h

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