ForetellerForeteller
5Y
5yHX…7fLvrank #42
cryptosportsother
score
54
Follow
+12%
ROI · 7d
$65
Profit · 7d
13
Markets
Performance · 7d13 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time10 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-4.1¢
Edge, worst case
-24.9¢
Closing line value
-3.6¢
crypto 2 · 7 callssize-weighted edge -30.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$121
crypto
+$82
other
-$138
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+4900% · +$147
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$0.36144h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94+$333144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$18145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$18145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$94150h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired167h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$0.89167h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$150167h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$3167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h

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