ForetellerForeteller
5Y
5ySB…QvQdrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+67%
ROI · 7d
$10
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+5.0¢
Edge, worst case
-29.4¢
Closing line value
+4.5¢
size-weighted edge +6.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$10
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)
+203% · +$5
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$11143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$5228h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$7233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$3264h
soldFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.99+$3287h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.37$2321h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.74$2321h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$2321h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$2321h

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