ForetellerForeteller
63
63rj…y4mj
sports
score
53
Follow
+106%
ROI · 7d
$184
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$50 @ 0.70
Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
90
Avg edge / share
+16.6¢
Edge, worst case
+11.2¢
Closing line value
+15.6¢
size-weighted edge +16.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$184
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+139% · +$171
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$294145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.25$23146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$100159h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$62288h
redeemedARG vs EGY: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$46340h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.80$50355h
boughtPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.70$35407h
redeemedPAR vs FRA: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$85407h
boughtPAR vs FRA: FRA wins (YES)@0.94$80411h
soldCAN vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@1.00+$78411h

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