ForetellerForeteller
64
645M…hFEFrank #42
crypto
score
54
Follow
+32%
ROI · 7d
$439
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.5¢
Edge, worst case
-42.6¢
Closing line value
-16.4¢
size-weighted edge -44.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$439
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1021% · +$249
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
boughtBTC Up@0.48$411176h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$9176h
boughtBTC Up@0.07$9176h
boughtBTC Up@0.11$9176h
soldBTC Up@0.79+$482176h
boughtBTC Up@0.63$387176h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$281177h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$364177h

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