ForetellerForeteller
65
65Gs…k4X7
crypto
score
26
Follow
-74%
ROI · 7d
-$349
Profit · 7d
1
Markets
Performance · 7d1 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-69.4¢
Edge, worst case
-110.6¢
Closing line value
-67.9¢
size-weighted edge -69.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$349
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired178h
soldBTC Up@0.30+$70178h
boughtBTC Up@0.48$88178h
soldBTC Up@0.42+$0.88178h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$8178h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$5178h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$17178h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$2178h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$6178h
soldBTC Up@0.01+$0.46178h

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