ForetellerForeteller
65
65Xp…pXm4rank #193
sportscrypto
score
51
Follow
+43%
ROI · 7d
$200
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-3.8¢
Edge, worst case
-50.0¢
Closing line value
-4.1¢
size-weighted edge +21.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$203
crypto
-$3
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)
+148% · +$111
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$8218h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$5218h
boughtBTC Up@0.83$8218h
soldJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.99+$192218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.83$161228h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$161233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.77$124248h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$124264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$92286h

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