ForetellerForeteller
67
67Aw…qjQsrank #134
crypto
score
52
Follow
-8%
ROI · 7d
-$171
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
30
Avg edge / share
+19.6¢
Edge, worst case
-4.3¢
Closing line value
+19.3¢
crypto 30 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +5.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$171
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+92% · +$263
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired313h
boughtBTC Up@0.35$913313h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$913313h
boughtBTC Up@0.60$549313h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$549314h
boughtBTC Up@0.52$285314h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$285314h
boughtBTC Up@0.75$213314h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$213314h
boughtBTC Up@0.80$171315h

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