ForetellerForeteller
69
69Aw…VUubrank #77
othercrypto
score
53
Follow
+17%
ROI · 7d
$1
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.9¢
Edge, worst case
-64.3¢
Closing line value
-23.9¢
size-weighted edge -19.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$6
crypto
-$5
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
+4900% · +$9
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired145h
bought@0.02$0.89145h
sold@0.50+$10147h
bought@0.01$0.19147h
redeemed@0.00expired147h
bought@0.50$2147h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired183h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$3183h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired184h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$2184h

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