ForetellerForeteller
69
69qn…8NX6rank #874
crypto
score
42
Follow
-40%
ROI · 7d
-$1.1k
Profit · 7d
35
Markets
Performance · 7d36 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time32 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-11.7¢
Edge, worst case
-22.6¢
Closing line value
-9.9¢
crypto 1 · 32 callssize-weighted edge -19.5¢sizing discipline -0.190% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$1.1k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+352% · +$269
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired224h
boughtBTC Up@0.08$13224h
boughtBTC Up@0.11$13224h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$27224h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$60224h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$30224h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$29224h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired224h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$15224h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired225h

Powered by Fortel