ForetellerForeteller
6B
6B4x…pQFArank #193
othercryptosports
score
51
Follow
-12%
ROI · 7d
-$1.9k
Profit · 7d
33
Markets
Performance · 7d33 settled
Open positions
YESARG wins WC26
$49 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time32 scored calls
Forecast score
24
Avg edge / share
+5.2¢
Edge, worst case
-5.7¢
Closing line value
+24.9¢
crypto 14 · 9 callsother 9 · 21 callssize-weighted edge -11.7¢sizing discipline -0.2767% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$35
crypto
-$1.9k
Current streak
5 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+685% · +$6.3k
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.18$898160h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired160h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$3.7k161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.56$3.7k161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.08$500161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$150161h

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