ForetellerForeteller
6P
6P15…zQXHrank #532
cryptosports
score
47
Follow
-17%
ROI · 7d
-$1.6k
Profit · 7d
25
Markets
Performance · 7d25 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-34.8¢
Edge, worst case
-53.6¢
Closing line value
-28.1¢
crypto 0 · 14 callssize-weighted edge -40.4¢sizing discipline -0.14

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$52
crypto
-$1.6k
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+246% · +$1.5k
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.51$624199h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$9199h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$750199h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$528199h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$568199h
soldBTC Up@0.87+$1.3k199h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$15199h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$6199h

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