ForetellerForeteller
6V
6VUJ…kd9f
cryptosports
score
52
Follow
-42%
ROI · 7d
-$1.2k
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+10.7¢
Edge, worst case
-67.5¢
Closing line value
+9.7¢
size-weighted edge -33.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$322
crypto
-$1.5k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+676% · +$68
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
soldBTC Up@0.32+$13262h
boughtBTC Up@0.77$1.5k262h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$20262h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$78263h
boughtBTC Up@0.13$10263h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$1.5k288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$206292h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$958292h

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