ForetellerForeteller
6W
6WsZ…3WLFrank #707
sportsother
score
45
Follow
-47%
ROI · 7d
-$440
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$377 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+4.2¢
Edge, worst case
-18.7¢
Closing line value
+4.1¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -3.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$38
sports
-$478
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
Max Holloway beats Conor McGregor
+38% · +$38
Recent activity
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired219h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.20$76219h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.40+$90219h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.26$373222h
redeemedMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@1.00+$138234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.34$50242h
boughtMax Holloway beats Conor McGregor@0.73$100249h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.45$100264h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$265265h

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