ForetellerForeteller
6W
6WtG…2WNjrank #1152
cryptosports
score
1
Follow
-99%
ROI · 7d
-$135
Profit · 7d
21
Markets
Performance · 7d21 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time21 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-26.0¢
Edge, worst case
-36.2¢
Closing line value
-11.2¢
crypto 0 · 17 callssize-weighted edge -44.1¢sizing discipline -0.23

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$7
crypto
-$128
Current streak
21 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2207h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$84207h
boughtBTC Up@0.97$1.00207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired208h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired208h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$0.89208h

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