ForetellerForeteller
6Y
6YAg…hGgWrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+32%
ROI · 7d
$5
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
+9.7¢
Edge, worst case
-15.3¢
Closing line value
+9.1¢
size-weighted edge +15.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$5
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+118% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$6143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$3216h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$7264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.73$5266h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$6287h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.74$0.91291h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$2291h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$5291h

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