ForetellerForeteller
6Z
6ZsS…5KC9rank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+47%
ROI · 7d
$68
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$46 @ 0.20
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
3
Avg edge / share
+9.2¢
Edge, worst case
-16.9¢
Closing line value
-7.5¢
sports 3 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +21.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$68
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$34
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$51143h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired164h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$57168h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.20$9232h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.40$9232h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$23232h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$23232h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$33233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$41264h

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