ForetellerForeteller
6B
6b24…syHerank #25
sports
score
55
Follow
+96%
ROI · 7d
$3.7k
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YES
$7.1k @ 0.62
Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
96
Avg edge / share
+34.7¢
Edge, worst case
+16.0¢
Closing line value
+1.0¢
size-weighted edge +45.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$3.7k
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+134% · +$1.3k
Recent activity
bought@0.62$4.4k143h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$4.6k144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$2.3k168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$2.3k168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$231200h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$148232h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$587232h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$587233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$284244h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$157264h

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